These are numbers based on strength of chance creation both for and against game by game.
It’s far from an exact science but is taken very seriously by data analysts and the bookmaking industry.
Sometimes the results tally closely to the numbers. Not that often though. Football is just so variable by nature.
(Numbers provided by Infogol, other XG Merchants are available)
GAME 1
WOLVES (H)
XG LEICESTER 0.55 - WOLVES 1.66
Actual score 1-0
GAME 2
WEST HAM (A)
XG WEST HAM 2.57 - LEICESTER 0.86
Actual score 4-1
GAME 3
NORWICH (A)
XG NORWICH 1.63 - LEICESTER 1.45
Actual score 1-2
GAME 4
MAN CITY (H)
XG LEICESTER 0.81 - MAN CITY 3.02
Actual score 0-1
GAME 5
BRIGHTON (A)
XG BRIGHTON 1.55 - LEICESTER 1.40
Actual score 2-1
GAME 6
BURNLEY (H)
XG LEICESTER 1.90 - BURNLEY 0.54
Actual score 2-2
GAME 7
PALACE (A)
XG PALACE 1.30 - LEICESTER 0.91
Actual score 2-2
GAME 8
MAN UTD (H)
XG LEICESTER 2.78 - MAN UTD 1.14
Actual score 4-2
GAME 9
BRENTFORD (A)
XG BRENTFORD 1.39 - LEICESTER 1.01
Actual score 1-2
GAME 10
ARSENAL (H)
XG LEICESTER 2.10 - ARSENAL 0.93
Actual score 0-2
GAME 11
LEEDS (A)
XG LEEDS 1.79 - LEICESTER 1.03
Actual score 1-1
GAME 12
CHELSEA (H)
XG LEICESTER 0.45 - CHELSEA 2.44
Actual score 0-3
GAME 13
WATFORD (H)
XG LEICESTER 2.30 - WATFORD 3.05
Actual score 4-2
GAME 14
SOUTHAMPTON (A)
XG SOUTHAMPTON 2.16 - LEICESTER 1.76
Actual score 2-2
GAME 15
VILLA (A)
XG VILLA 2.23 - LEICESTER 1.01
Actual score 2-1
GAME 16
NEWCASTLE (H)
XG LEICESTER 2.15 - NEWCASTLE 0.75
Actual score 4-0
GAME 17
MAN CITY (A)
XG MAN CITY 4.17 - LEICESTER 2.59
Actual score 6-3
GAME 18
LIVERPOOL (H)
XG LEICESTER 0.75 - LIVERPOOL 2.50
Actual score 1-0
GAME 19
SPURS (H)
XG LEICESTER 1.94 - SPURS 4.68
Actual score 2-3
GAME 20
BRIGHTON (H)
XG LEICESTER 1.92 - BRIGHTON 1.30
Actual score 1-1
GAME 21
LIVERPOOL (A)
XG LIVERPOOL 3.30 - LEICESTER 0.46
Actual score 2-0
GAME 22
WEST HAM (H)
XG LEICESTER 1.43 - WEST HAM 0.81
Actual score 2-2
GAME 23
WOLVES (A)
XG WOLVES 0.67 - LEICESTER 1.43
Actual score 2-1
GAME 24
BURNLEY (A)
XG BURNLEY 1.42 - LEICESTER 1.97
Actual score 1-2
GAME 25
LEEDS (H)
XG LEICESTER 0.39 - LEEDS 2.15
Actual score 1-0
GAME 26
ARSENAL (A)
XG ARSENAL 3.04 - LEICESTER 0.62
Actual score 2-0
GAME 27
BRENTFORD (H)
XG LEICESTER 1.15 - BRENTFORD 1.67
Actual score 2-1
GAME 28
MAN UTD (A)
XG MAN UTD 1.16 - LEICESTER 1.22
Actual score 1-1
GAME 29
PALACE (H)
XG LEICESTER 0.75 - PALACE 1.67
Actual score 2-1
GAME 30
NEWCASTLE (A)
XG NEWCASTLE 2.38 - LEICESTER 0.60
Actual score 2-1
GAME 31
EVERTON (A)
XG EVERTON 1.72 - LEICESTER 0.83
Actual score 1-1
GAME 32
VILLA (H)
XG LEICESTER 0.26 - VILLA 0.65
Actual score 0-0
GAME 33
SPURS (A)
XG SPURS 1.79 - LEICESTER 0.32
Actual score 3-1
GAME 34
EVERTON (H)
XG LEICESTER 1.80 - EVERTON 1.66
Actual score 1-2
GAME 35
NORWICH (H)
XG LEICESTER 2.36 - NORWICH 1.66
Actual score 3-0
GAME 36
WATFORD (A)
XG WATFORD 2.06 - LEICESTER 2.00
Actual score 1-5
GAME 37
CHELSEA (A)
XG CHELSEA 1.71 - LEICESTER 0.06
Actual score 1-1
GAME 38
SOUTHAMPTON (H)
XG LEICESTER 3.36 - SOUTHAMPTON 1.18
Actual score 4-1
It’s far from an exact science but is taken very seriously by data analysts and the bookmaking industry.
Sometimes the results tally closely to the numbers. Not that often though. Football is just so variable by nature.
(Numbers provided by Infogol, other XG Merchants are available)
GAME 1
WOLVES (H)
XG LEICESTER 0.55 - WOLVES 1.66
Actual score 1-0
GAME 2
WEST HAM (A)
XG WEST HAM 2.57 - LEICESTER 0.86
Actual score 4-1
GAME 3
NORWICH (A)
XG NORWICH 1.63 - LEICESTER 1.45
Actual score 1-2
GAME 4
MAN CITY (H)
XG LEICESTER 0.81 - MAN CITY 3.02
Actual score 0-1
GAME 5
BRIGHTON (A)
XG BRIGHTON 1.55 - LEICESTER 1.40
Actual score 2-1
GAME 6
BURNLEY (H)
XG LEICESTER 1.90 - BURNLEY 0.54
Actual score 2-2
GAME 7
PALACE (A)
XG PALACE 1.30 - LEICESTER 0.91
Actual score 2-2
GAME 8
MAN UTD (H)
XG LEICESTER 2.78 - MAN UTD 1.14
Actual score 4-2
GAME 9
BRENTFORD (A)
XG BRENTFORD 1.39 - LEICESTER 1.01
Actual score 1-2
GAME 10
ARSENAL (H)
XG LEICESTER 2.10 - ARSENAL 0.93
Actual score 0-2
GAME 11
LEEDS (A)
XG LEEDS 1.79 - LEICESTER 1.03
Actual score 1-1
GAME 12
CHELSEA (H)
XG LEICESTER 0.45 - CHELSEA 2.44
Actual score 0-3
GAME 13
WATFORD (H)
XG LEICESTER 2.30 - WATFORD 3.05
Actual score 4-2
GAME 14
SOUTHAMPTON (A)
XG SOUTHAMPTON 2.16 - LEICESTER 1.76
Actual score 2-2
GAME 15
VILLA (A)
XG VILLA 2.23 - LEICESTER 1.01
Actual score 2-1
GAME 16
NEWCASTLE (H)
XG LEICESTER 2.15 - NEWCASTLE 0.75
Actual score 4-0
GAME 17
MAN CITY (A)
XG MAN CITY 4.17 - LEICESTER 2.59
Actual score 6-3
GAME 18
LIVERPOOL (H)
XG LEICESTER 0.75 - LIVERPOOL 2.50
Actual score 1-0
GAME 19
SPURS (H)
XG LEICESTER 1.94 - SPURS 4.68
Actual score 2-3
GAME 20
BRIGHTON (H)
XG LEICESTER 1.92 - BRIGHTON 1.30
Actual score 1-1
GAME 21
LIVERPOOL (A)
XG LIVERPOOL 3.30 - LEICESTER 0.46
Actual score 2-0
GAME 22
WEST HAM (H)
XG LEICESTER 1.43 - WEST HAM 0.81
Actual score 2-2
GAME 23
WOLVES (A)
XG WOLVES 0.67 - LEICESTER 1.43
Actual score 2-1
GAME 24
BURNLEY (A)
XG BURNLEY 1.42 - LEICESTER 1.97
Actual score 1-2
GAME 25
LEEDS (H)
XG LEICESTER 0.39 - LEEDS 2.15
Actual score 1-0
GAME 26
ARSENAL (A)
XG ARSENAL 3.04 - LEICESTER 0.62
Actual score 2-0
GAME 27
BRENTFORD (H)
XG LEICESTER 1.15 - BRENTFORD 1.67
Actual score 2-1
GAME 28
MAN UTD (A)
XG MAN UTD 1.16 - LEICESTER 1.22
Actual score 1-1
GAME 29
PALACE (H)
XG LEICESTER 0.75 - PALACE 1.67
Actual score 2-1
GAME 30
NEWCASTLE (A)
XG NEWCASTLE 2.38 - LEICESTER 0.60
Actual score 2-1
GAME 31
EVERTON (A)
XG EVERTON 1.72 - LEICESTER 0.83
Actual score 1-1
GAME 32
VILLA (H)
XG LEICESTER 0.26 - VILLA 0.65
Actual score 0-0
GAME 33
SPURS (A)
XG SPURS 1.79 - LEICESTER 0.32
Actual score 3-1
GAME 34
EVERTON (H)
XG LEICESTER 1.80 - EVERTON 1.66
Actual score 1-2
GAME 35
NORWICH (H)
XG LEICESTER 2.36 - NORWICH 1.66
Actual score 3-0
GAME 36
WATFORD (A)
XG WATFORD 2.06 - LEICESTER 2.00
Actual score 1-5
GAME 37
CHELSEA (A)
XG CHELSEA 1.71 - LEICESTER 0.06
Actual score 1-1
GAME 38
SOUTHAMPTON (H)
XG LEICESTER 3.36 - SOUTHAMPTON 1.18
Actual score 4-1